PropertyEye tracks live listings in Sydney and Brisbane today — Melbourne pages are built from published auction results (2021–2026), our price model and weekly clearance data. Live Melbourne tracking is on the roadmap.
Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction
| Configuration | Model estimate | Range | Comparable sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-bed house | $722k | $651k–$807k | 50 |
| 4-bed house | $778k | $683k–$894k | 50 |
| 5-bed house | $843k | $741k–$969k | 50 |
Modelled from 169,861 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Melbourne cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.
Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates
Houses
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Suspension St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $700,000 | May 2025 |
| 69 Suspension St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $700,000 | May 2025 |
| 12 Holt St | 3 bd · 3 ba | $633,000 | Mar 2025 |
| 21 Blanche St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $795,000 | Mar 2025 |
| 10 Chelsey St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $740,000 | Mar 2025 |
| 37 Blanche St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $710,000 | Dec 2024 |
Recent sold auction results in Ardeer from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.
What Ardeer actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter
Houses — median sold price by quarter
Latest quarter $740k (3 sales)
Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.
Crime — recorded criminal incidents, year ending March 2026
Index 67 — above the Greater Melbourne average (50 = average) · 69.1 key incidents per 1,000 residents · year-on-year +13%
Most recorded: Steal from a motor vehicle (60) · Other theft (38) · Criminal damage (28)
Key offences: homicide, assault, sexual offences, robbery, property damage, burglary/break-and-enter, theft (CSA subdivisions A10/A20/A30/A70/B20/B30/B40). Rates are per RESIDENT — suburbs with heavy visitor/entertainment traffic (CBD, nightlife strips) read high on this basis. Source: Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria), criminal incidents year ending March 2026 (CC BY 4.0); populations ABS Census 2021 (SAL).
Schools in Ardeer — located in the suburb (ACARA 2025)
In-suburb enrolments 246 · 5-year trend -17.7% (declining) — total across the schools below; family demand signal, openings/closures counted
| School | Type | Sector | ICSEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ardeer Primary School | Primary | Government | 986 |
| Mother of God School | Primary | Catholic | 995 |
Schools whose ADDRESS is in Ardeer — residents are often zoned to schools in neighbouring suburbs too; check the actual zone for any address at findmyschool.vic.gov.au. ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score.
Auction market pace — Melbourne weekly clearance
Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-09-26 — 52% of 179 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-09-26 — 45% of 229 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.
Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted
| Suburb | Clearance | Withdrawn | Auctions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reservoir | 56% | 13% | 75 |
| Craigieburn | 54% | 8% | 74 |
| Wollert | 58% | 7% | 60 |
| Mount Waverley | 71% | 4% | 55 |
| Richmond | 54% | 7% | 54 |
| Camberwell | 49% | 4% | 51 |
| Bentleigh East | 56% | 13% | 48 |
| Fawkner | 29% | 23% | 48 |
| Balwyn North | 43% | 15% | 47 |
| Epping | 63% | 4% | 46 |
Recent auction addresses in Ardeer
Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.
All figures derive from published auction results and public data — estimates only, not financial advice.