PropertyEye tracks live listings in Sydney and Brisbane today — Melbourne pages are built from published auction results (2021–2026), our price model and weekly clearance data. Live Melbourne tracking is on the roadmap.
Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction
| Configuration | Model estimate | Range | Comparable sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-bed house | $811k | $712k–$932k | 23 |
| 4-bed house | $916k | $805k–$1.05M | 23 |
| 5-bed house | $973k | $855k–$1.12M | 23 |
Modelled from 169,861 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Melbourne cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.
Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates
Houses
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Drystone Cr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $850,000 | Jun 2025 |
| 19 Nobel Banks Dr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $691,000 | May 2025 |
| 14 Spinifex St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $810,500 | Feb 2025 |
| 34 Lakewood Blvd | 4 bd · 3 ba | $1,321,000 | Dec 2024 |
| 26 Flowerdale Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $751,000 | Nov 2024 |
| 208 Cairnlea Dr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $700,000 | Nov 2024 |
Recent sold auction results in Cairnlea from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.
Crime — recorded criminal incidents, year ending March 2026
Index 29 — below the Greater Melbourne average (50 = average) · 29.8 key incidents per 1,000 residents · year-on-year +27%
Most recorded: Steal from a motor vehicle (98) · Criminal damage (45) · Other theft (31)
Key offences: homicide, assault, sexual offences, robbery, property damage, burglary/break-and-enter, theft (CSA subdivisions A10/A20/A30/A70/B20/B30/B40). Rates are per RESIDENT — suburbs with heavy visitor/entertainment traffic (CBD, nightlife strips) read high on this basis. Source: Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria), criminal incidents year ending March 2026 (CC BY 4.0); populations ABS Census 2021 (SAL).
Schools in Cairnlea — located in the suburb (ACARA 2025)
In-suburb enrolments 776 · 5-year trend -9.5% (declining) — total across the schools below; family demand signal, openings/closures counted
| School | Type | Sector | ICSEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cairnlea Park Primary School | Primary | Government | 1023 |
Schools whose ADDRESS is in Cairnlea — residents are often zoned to schools in neighbouring suburbs too; check the actual zone for any address at findmyschool.vic.gov.au. ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score.
Auction market pace — Melbourne weekly clearance
Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-09-26 — 52% of 179 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-09-26 — 45% of 229 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.
Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted
| Suburb | Clearance | Withdrawn | Auctions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reservoir | 56% | 13% | 75 |
| Craigieburn | 54% | 8% | 74 |
| Wollert | 58% | 7% | 60 |
| Mount Waverley | 71% | 4% | 55 |
| Richmond | 54% | 7% | 54 |
| Camberwell | 49% | 4% | 51 |
| Bentleigh East | 56% | 13% | 48 |
| Fawkner | 29% | 23% | 48 |
| Balwyn North | 43% | 15% | 47 |
| Epping | 63% | 4% | 46 |
Recent auction addresses in Cairnlea
Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.
All figures derive from published auction results and public data — estimates only, not financial advice.