PropertyEye tracks live listings in Sydney and Brisbane today — Melbourne pages are built from published auction results (2021–2026), our price model and weekly clearance data. Live Melbourne tracking is on the roadmap.
Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction
| Configuration | Model estimate | Range | Comparable sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-bed unit | $361k | $311k–$421k | 15 |
| 2-bed unit | $504k | $434k–$588k | 15 |
| 3-bed unit | $670k | $589k–$770k | 15 |
| 3-bed house | $755k | $681k–$844k | 133 |
| 4-bed house | $863k | $778k–$965k | 133 |
| 5-bed house | $904k | $794k–$1.04M | 133 |
Modelled from 169,861 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Melbourne cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.
Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates
Units
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/53 Saratoga Cr | 2 bd · 1 ba | $510,000 | Jun 2025 |
| 1/1 Sirius Ct | 2 bd · 1 ba | $557,000 | May 2025 |
| 1/1 Fiat Ct | 3 bd · 2 ba | $641,000 | Mar 2025 |
| 2/1 Gunsynd Ct | 3 bd · 1 ba | $635,000 | Feb 2025 |
| 1/38 Saratoga Cr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $600,000 | Feb 2025 |
| 2/13 Lancia Dr | 3 bd · 1 ba | $652,000 | Feb 2025 |
Houses
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aquanita Cr | 4 bd · 3 ba | $995,000 | Jul 2025 |
| 10 Wirilda Pl | 4 bd · 2 ba | $982,000 | Jun 2025 |
| 5 Proctor Cr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $821,000 | Jun 2025 |
| 8 Tarella Dr | 4 bd · 3 ba | $902,000 | May 2025 |
| 11 Greenoch Ct | 4 bd · 2 ba | $840,000 | May 2025 |
| 17 Lady Nelson Wy | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1,112,500 | May 2025 |
Recent sold auction results in Keilor Downs from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.
What Keilor Downs actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter
Houses — median sold price by quarter
Latest quarter $895k (10 sales) · measured trend -2%/yr (3-bed like-for-like, 45 sales)
Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.
Crime — recorded criminal incidents, year ending March 2026
Index 33 — below the Greater Melbourne average (50 = average) · 33.9 key incidents per 1,000 residents · year-on-year +16%
Most recorded: Steal from a motor vehicle (82) · Steal from a retail store (46) · Other theft (44)
Key offences: homicide, assault, sexual offences, robbery, property damage, burglary/break-and-enter, theft (CSA subdivisions A10/A20/A30/A70/B20/B30/B40). Rates are per RESIDENT — suburbs with heavy visitor/entertainment traffic (CBD, nightlife strips) read high on this basis. Source: Crime Statistics Agency (Victoria), criminal incidents year ending March 2026 (CC BY 4.0); populations ABS Census 2021 (SAL).
Schools in Keilor Downs — located in the suburb (ACARA 2025)
In-suburb enrolments 2,301 · 5-year trend -12.3% (declining) — total across the schools below; family demand signal, openings/closures counted
| School | Type | Sector | ICSEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keilor Downs Secondary College | Secondary | Government | 1004 |
| Keilor Views Primary School | Primary | Government | 1019 |
| Monmia Primary School | Primary | Government | 985 |
| St Mary MacKillop Primary School | Primary | Catholic | 1059 |
Schools whose ADDRESS is in Keilor Downs — residents are often zoned to schools in neighbouring suburbs too; check the actual zone for any address at findmyschool.vic.gov.au. ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score.
Auction market pace — Melbourne weekly clearance
Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-09-26 — 52% of 179 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-09-26 — 45% of 229 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.
Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted
| Suburb | Clearance | Withdrawn | Auctions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reservoir | 56% | 13% | 75 |
| Craigieburn | 54% | 8% | 74 |
| Wollert | 58% | 7% | 60 |
| Mount Waverley | 71% | 4% | 55 |
| Richmond | 54% | 7% | 54 |
| Camberwell | 49% | 4% | 51 |
| Bentleigh East | 56% | 13% | 48 |
| Fawkner | 29% | 23% | 48 |
| Balwyn North | 43% | 15% | 47 |
| Epping | 63% | 4% | 46 |
Recent auction addresses in Keilor Downs
Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.
All figures derive from published auction results and public data — estimates only, not financial advice.