Box Hill · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Box Hill from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Box Hill actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 507 settled sales · median $1,290,000 (middle half $1,155,000–$1,469,995)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Box Hill homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2765

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $500 → $830/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2765, all dwellings pooled · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 57 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2765) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

2,660 dwellings · 34 - 36 Terry Road, Box Hill · 1.2km away · Think Planners Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-04-29

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 2,660 dwellings across 1 project — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

Supply concentration: one applicant (Think Planners Pty Ltd) is behind the entire known nearby pipeline (2,660 dwellings). Concentrated supply cuts both ways: delivery is likelier, but future sales and rentals compete with the same pipeline's next release — a cap the growth numbers won't show. Applicants can be planning consultants acting for a developer.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

1 primary school within 2km · nearest school ~0.84km · ICSEA 1123

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Box Hill PS · Rouse Hill HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Box Hill

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

46 Porrima St · 36 Quartz Rd · 24 Gromark Tce · 43 Aquarius Wy · 34 Tablelands St · 18 Sculptor St · 10 Borealis Wy · 42 Bloomsdale Cct · 145 Longerenong Av · 1&1A Pleasance St · 24 Keeneland St · 34 Keeneland St

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Box Hill, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 1 Alan Street, 3 Alan Street, Box Hill — Construction of a 22 - storey mixed use shop - top housing development. The first four - storeys will comprise of above ground parking and commercial premises uses, and the remaining 18 storeys will be used for residenti
  Developable Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 7 Alan Street, 9 Alan Street, Box Hill — Construction of a 22 - storey mixed use shop - top housing development. The first four - storeys will comprise of above ground parking and commercial premises uses, and the remaining 18 storeys will be used for residenti
  Developable Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 34 - 36 Terry Road, Box Hill — Concept Approval for approximately 2660 dwellings in 6 Buildings with heights between 12 and 28 storeys and ancillary commercial uses. 10% affordable housing for 15 years. Stage 1 SSD Application for approximately 2000m2
  Think Planners Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — THE HILLS LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, THE HILLS has a five-year housing target of 23,300 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 51,300–57,800 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — The Hills LGA

The Sydney Plan lists 2 state significant rezoning sites in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Cherrybrook Precinct (Hornsby, The Hills) — ~10,000 dwellings, ~200 jobs · rezoning completed Aug 2026
• Kellyville and Bella Vista TOD Accelerated Precinct — ~4,600 dwellings, ~3,800 jobs · rezoning completed Nov 2024

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026