Lilli Pilli · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 42 settled sales · median $1,782,500 (middle half $820,000–$2,743,750)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Lilli Pilli homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcodes 2536 + 2229

Lilli Pilli genuinely spans two postcodes — both shown with their measured shares of the suburb's recorded sales, never blended.

Postcode 2536 — ≈68% of Lilli Pilli's recorded sales

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $375 → $550/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2536, all dwellings pooled · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Postcode 2229 — ≈32% of Lilli Pilli's recorded sales

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $615 → $850/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2229, all dwellings pooled · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 35 — below the Sydney average (50 = average) · band low

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2229) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

2 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.47km · 1 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1096

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Lilli Pilli PS · Woolooware HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Housing and jobs targets — SUTHERLAND LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, SUTHERLAND has a five-year housing target of 6,000 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 5,800–12,200 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Sutherland LGA

The Sydney Plan lists 2 state significant rezoning sites in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Flide Street, Caringbah (Homes NSW) — ~164 dwellings · assessment underway, announced June 2025
• Kurnell Peninsula — ~4,300 dwellings, ~2,100 jobs · assessment underway, announced Sept 2024

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026