The listing we observed
4 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Home by Holly · last observed 28 Sept 2026
← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $1,440,000 ▼ Reduced 9.4% · $150k · 13 days ago
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House · 755 m² land
Asking price cut 9.4% ($150k, from $1,590,000 to $1,440,000) 13 days ago. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
What deserves a closer look
- changed agency — to Home by Holly (was home.byholly - Canberra)
- price cut $150k — to $1.44M
- asking $1.59M
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
NO CONFIDENT READ
The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Swinden St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.21M | Sept 2025 |
| 9 Fenner St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.28M | May 2025 |
| 12 Blacket St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.43M | Apr 2025 |
| 19 Burn St | 4 bd · 3 ba | $1.95M | Nov 2024 |
Where every number comes from
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Downer — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
What changed recently?
- 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
- 29 Aug 2026 asking $1.59M
- 28 Sept 2026 price cut $150k — to $1.44M
- 28 Sept 2026 changed agency — to Home by Holly (was home.byholly - Canberra)
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
755 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
$1,450,000
18 Kilduff Street
Watson · 1.8 km away
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$1,450,000
11 Fairfax Street
O'Connor · 2.9 km away
4 bed · 1 bath · 2 car
$1,400,000
29 Shewcroft Street
Watson · 1.8 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 2 car
$1,395,000
21 Wade Street
Watson · 1.8 km away
4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,379,000
55 Negus Crescent
Watson · 1.8 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 2 car
$1,350,000
191 Duffy Street
Ainslie · 2.1 km away
4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Downer or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Downer — recent local signals
2026-08-18 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" () (listing rea-150510472 (rea), first seen 2026-08-18)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.