The listing we observed
3 bedrooms · SemiDetached
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Vicki Lamb · last observed 14 Nov 2026← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $4,000,000
3 bed · 2 bath · Semi-detached · 281 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the areaWhat deserves a closer look
- asking $4M
- first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- There is no supported price estimate to show for this home.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 6 Nov 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 6 Nov 2026 asking $4M
- 15 Nov 2026 on market 8+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- 6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Days on market — this campaign
8 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Manly · postcode 2095
$1358–$2000/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2095 actually transact for (middle half of 30 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1725/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1350/wk · -2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2095, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
281 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/25 Marshall Street | 5 Nov 2026 | $2,515,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 2/2a Kangaroo Street | 17 July 2026 | $1,500,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 32/20 Bonner Avenue | 29 June 2026 | $5,250,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
| 1/15a Eustace Street | 26 June 2026 | $1,270,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 3/20 Birkley Road | 6 Feb 2026 | $2,550,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$3,950,000
5 Rolfe Street
Manly
4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 6% · $250k · 2 cuts
$4,200,000
86a Griffiths Street
Fairlight · 1.2 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 2 car
$3,800,000
127A Balgowlah Road
Fairlight · 1.2 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 1 car
New · 1 day ago
$4,200,000
12 Maretimo Street
Balgowlah · 2.7 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 4 car
$4,200,000
33 Lodge Street
Balgowlah · 2.7 km away
4 bed · 3 bath · 4 car
$3,500,000
2 Brisbane Street
Fairlight · 1.2 km away
4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 5.4% · $200k · 2 days ago
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Manly or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This address | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Semi-Detached Dwelling, Driveways And Hard Stand Spaces | Determined | not on record | $108k | 2026-04-02 |
| ~79 m · 71 Wood Street Manly 2095 | Demolition, Residential Flat Building, Erection Of A New Structure · 3 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $7.59M | 2025-12-20 |
| ~83 m · 48 Osborne Road Manly 2095 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $2.44M | 2021-06-28 |
| ~90 m · 72 Wood Street Manly 2095 | Multi-Dwelling Housing, Erection Of A New Structure · 3 new dwellings | Additional Information Requested | not on record | $9.13M | 2026-08-26 |
| ~109 m · 43 Osborne Road Manly 2095 | Demolition, Subdivision, Erection Of A New Structure · 2 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $2.97M | 2026-02-02 |
| ~141 m · 53 Stuart Street Manly 2095 | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Residential Accommodation | Determined | not on record | $100k | 2024-05-21 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Manly — recent local signals
2026-11-05 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (15 Marshall Street, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-152854304 (rea), first seen 2026-11-05)
2026-09-27 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "DA-approved" (49 Bower Street, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-152385056 (rea), first seen 2026-09-27)
2026-09-03 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (9 Pacific Parade, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-152236644 (rea), first seen 2026-09-03)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Manly Village PS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
1 primary school within 2 km · ICSEA ~1158 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Manly — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.