22 Alpha Rd · Willoughby NSW 2068

Willoughby suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Willoughby suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $2,300,000

3 bed · 2 bath · 3 car · House · 371 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

NO CONFIDENT READ
The model has no confident read on this property: its comparable pool disagrees with the advertised figure by more than 40%, and on our sold-validation set the advertised guide — not the model — predicted the sale in these cases. The comparable pool is likely describing different stock than what is being sold.

What we've tracked

  • 20 June 2026 auction: Passed in (Raine & Horne Lower North Shore)
  • 16 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $2.3M
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 11+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
8 Cobar St3 bd · 2 ba$4.62MSept 2025
236 High St3 bd · 2 ba$3.03MJune 2025
2A Clanwilliam St3 bd · 1 ba$2.41MMay 2025
1a Council St3 bd · 1 ba$3.26MApr 2025
164 Mowbray Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.05MApr 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 17 — below sydney average · 25 min walk to Artarmon · ~12 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Willoughby — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

11 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Willoughby · postcode 2068

$1225–$1625/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2068 actually transact for (middle half of 15 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1250/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $978 → $1525/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2068, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

371 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
20 June 2026Passed inwithheldRaine & Horne Lower North Shore

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Willoughby, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
26 Hollywood Crescent12 Aug 2025$2,600,000Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Willoughby or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.