Currently listed — $1,900,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · House · 670 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 131 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 1 Aug 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Ray White Belmore)
- 22 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 22 Aug 2026 asking $1.9M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 5+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lakemba St | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1.53M | June 2025 |
| 1 Lakemba St | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1.53M | June 2025 |
| 44 Trafalgar St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.78M | May 2025 |
| 22 Eleanor Av | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.67M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 39 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Belmore Metro · ~22 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Belmore — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
5 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Belmore · postcode 2192
$750–$900/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2192 actually transact for (middle half of 46 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $835/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $520 → $850/wk · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2192, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
670 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | Ray White Belmore |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Belmore, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44/585-589 Canterbury Road | by 16 Aug 2026 | $608,500 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 27 Harp Street | 15 Nov 2023 | $1,750,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Belmore or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 27 July 2023 | $1,520,000 | — |
| 30 Nov 2024 | $1,950,000 | +28.3% over 1.3 yrs |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Belmore — recent local signals
2026-02-06 — Belmore listed under TOD (standard) — controls from 2026-02-06 (state-fiat-precincts.json (https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/policy-and-legislation/housing/transport-oriented-development-program/transport-oriented-development))
2025-11-07 — Childcare invest — 427 BURWOOD ROAD BELMORE 2192 ($5484k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-586171, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Belmore SPS (primary) · Kingsgrove NHS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~997 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Belmore — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.