









Currently listed
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 41 comparable auction sales (7 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 4 July 2026 auction: Postponed (Ray White Belmore)
- 25 July 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Ray White Belmore)
- 24 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 3+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14G/541C Burwood Rd | 2 bd · 2 ba | $735k | Apr 2025 |
| 4/6-8 Sudbury St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $822k | Mar 2025 |
| 8/473 Burwood Rd | 2 bd · 2 ba | $650k | Mar 2025 |
| 4/47 York St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $620k | Mar 2025 |
| 4/47 York St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $620k | Feb 2025 |
| 4/22-24 Anderson St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $755k | Nov 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 39 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Belmore Metro · ~22 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Belmore — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
3 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Belmore · postcode 2192
$550–$710/wk is what 2-bed units in 2192 actually transact for (middle half of 71 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $580/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $392 → $580/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2192, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Belmore units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q2 $735k (5) · 2024Q3 $760k (5) · 2024Q4 $715k (3) · 2025Q1 $635k (4)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | Ray White Belmore |
| 4 July 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Ray White Belmore |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Belmore, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44/585-589 Canterbury Road | by 16 Aug 2026 | $608,500 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~140 m · 172 Burwood Road Belmore 2192 | Dwelling, Demolition · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $890k | 2020-07-30 |
| ~149 m · 193 Burwood Road Belmore 2192 | Signage | Determined | Approved | $28k | 2020-09-08 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Belmore — recent local signals
2026-02-06 — Belmore listed under TOD (standard) — controls from 2026-02-06 (state-fiat-precincts.json (https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/policy-and-legislation/housing/transport-oriented-development-program/transport-oriented-development))
2025-11-07 — Childcare invest — 427 BURWOOD ROAD BELMORE 2192 ($5484k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-586171, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Belmore NPS (primary) · Wiley Park GHS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~997 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 250 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 1000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.