4 Ethel St · Balgowlah NSW 2093

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Currently listed

3 bed · 1 bath · 4 car · House · 511 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.91M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.91M–$3.94M
around $3.43M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.94M
$4.12M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 34 comparable auction sales (7 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 4 June 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 8 Aug 2026 auction: Postponed (Lucand)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $2.9M
  • 22 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Lucand)
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 83 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
143 Condamine St3 bd · 1 ba$3.92MApr 2025
69 Griffiths St3 bd · 2 ba$3.52MMar 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Balgowlah — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

83 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

511 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldLucand
8 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldLucand

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balgowlah, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
19 Hill Street17 Aug 2026$2,830,0003Cunninghams
102 Condamine Street30 July 2026$4,000,0004Cunninghams
1/20 Kitchener Street14 July 2026$2,370,0003Cunninghams
12/10 Bentley Street7 July 2026$1,360,0002Cunninghams
2/22 Waratah Street28 Apr 2026$2,120,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.