413/8 Jenner St · Little Bay NSW 2036

Little Bay suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Little Bay suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.22M–$1.87M
around $1.53M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.87M
$2.74M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 36 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±21% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 59 — around sydney average

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Little Bay · postcode 2036

$1200–$1650/wk is what 3-bed units in 2036 actually transact for (middle half of 67 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1480/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $680 → $1080/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2036, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Little Bay units at auction

Not enough Little Bay unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldNGFarah

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.