45 Union Street · Paddington NSW 2021

Paddington suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Paddington suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $3,500,000

3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Terrace

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

NO CONFIDENT READ
The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.

What we've tracked

  • 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $3.5M
  • 29 Aug 2026 on market 9+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
174 Hargrave St3 bd · 2 ba$4MJuly 2025
125 Underwood St3 bd · 2 ba$4MJune 2025
3 Church St3 bd · 3 ba$3.35MMay 2025
77 Glenmore Rd3 bd · 2 ba$3.25MMay 2025
4 Albion Av3 bd · 2 ba$3.06MMay 2025
39 & 39a Albion Av3 bd · 3 ba$3.55MApr 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 18 min walk to Edgecliff · ~6 min train to the CBD · light rail ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Paddington — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

9 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Paddington · postcode 2021

$1550–$2100/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2021 actually transact for (middle half of 25 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1895/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1500/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2021, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Woollahra Municipal Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.21% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 13.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Paddington, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
6 Albert Square5 Dec 2021$1,800,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Paddington or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
24 May 2024 $3,700,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.