605N/4 Mandible St · Alexandria NSW 2015

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Alexandria suburb ← Back to board

Last seen listed — $790,000 · not confirmed in 53 days

2 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

⏳ We haven't been able to re-confirm this listing since 4 July 2026 — it may have sold or been withdrawn since; the price shown is the last one advertised.

View the original listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

NO CONFIDENT READ
The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.

What we've tracked

  • 21 May 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 20 June 2026 auction: Passed in (McGrath Double Bay )
  • 1 July 2026 asking $790k
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 97 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
9/145 Belmont St2 bd · 1 ba$940kJuly 2025
406/86 Lawrence St2 bd · 2 ba$1.47MJuly 2025
1/31 Gerard St2 bd · 1 ba$1.15MJune 2025
B613/222 Botany Rd2 bd · 1 ba$950kMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Alexandria — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

97 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Local rents — postcode 2015 units, new tenancies

$805/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2015 (2026Q2, 188 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 2-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Alexandria units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.1%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (105 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
20 June 2026Passed inwithheldMcGrath Double Bay

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
1/1a Mandible Street14 Aug 2025$682,000Harris Partners
31/30-44 Garden Street21 Jan 2022$1,200,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Alexandria or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.