81 Garden St · Alexandria NSW 2015

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Currently listed — $1,795,000 ▼ Reduced 4.3% · $80k · 2 cuts

3 bed · 1 bath · 0 car · House · 118 m² land

Asking price cut 4.3% ($80k, from $1,875,000 to $1,795,000) 3 weeks ago — the 2nd cut of this campaign. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.

View the live listing →

Your buyer evidence guide

Understand the home before the offer.

The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.

The listing we observed

3 bedrooms · House

Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.

Adrian William · last observed 16 Oct 2026

Planning activity nearby

6 recorded applications at or near this address

An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.

NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area

What deserves a closer look

  • price cut $80k — to $1.79M
  • price cut $25k — to $1.88M
  • asking $1.9M

These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.

What we still cannot tell you

  • No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
  • The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.
  • Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection

Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.

  1. Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
  2. Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
  3. What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
  4. Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?

The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.

Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

NO CONFIDENT READ
The model has no confident read on this property: the advertised figure sits below the model's entire likely range, and on our sold-validation set such homes sold at their advertised figure — the comparable pool is likely describing dearer stock than what is being sold.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
57 Gerard St3 bd · 2 ba$3.17MFeb 2025
3B William St3 bd · 3 ba$2.22MNov 2024

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Alexandria — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What changed recently?

  • 4 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Adrian William)
  • 17 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $1.9M
  • 1 Sept 2026 price cut $25k — to $1.88M
  • 28 Sept 2026 price cut $80k — to $1.79M
  • 17 Oct 2026 on market 60+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • 6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

60 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Alexandria · postcode 2015

$1150–$1500/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2015 actually transact for (middle half of 53 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1350/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $768 → $1100/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2015, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

118 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Passed inwithheldAdrian William

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
23/30-44 Garden Street8 Oct 2026$1,120,0002Harris Partners
1/1a Mandible Street14 Aug 2025$682,000—Harris Partners
18/101 Belmont Street6 Dec 2022$1,800,0004Harris Partners
31/30-44 Garden Street21 Jan 2022$1,200,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Alexandria or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 75% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 50 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.