Canterbury · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Canterbury — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 41 Canterbury buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Townhouses

Recent sold auction results in Canterbury from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Canterbury actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 147 settled sales · median $820,000 (middle half $620,000–$1,202,500)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 35 — below the Sydney average (50 = average) · band low

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2193) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

192 dwellings approved in Canterbury between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (175 applications). Largest: 50dw Shop 5/ 211 Canterbury Road Canterbury (2020).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 2,575 (2016) to 4,029 (2021) — +1,454 delivered in that window, +982 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Transport Oriented Development Program · standard precinct — Canterbury · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

investing in place Place of worship — 33 Church Street Canterbury 2193 · $3.7M works
Place of public worship · Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure · Determined · determined 2025-12-02 · PAN-580729

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

189 dwellings · 9-15 Robert Street, Canterbury · 0.1km away · U rbis Ltd on behalf of Growthbuilt Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-10

320 dwellings · 124-142 Beamish Street, Campsie · 1.4km away
Withdrawn · SSD-52775210

114 dwellings · 59-63 Evaline Street, Campsie · 1.5km away · Combeda Pty Ltd
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-129719740

89 dwellings · 236-240 Georges River Road, Croydon Park · 2km away
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-112111746

262 dwellings · 45 - 55 Hercules St, Dulwich Hill · 2.2km away · QTHL Future Fund Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-22

152 dwellings · 27 - 29 Redman Parade, Belmore · 2.5km away · Arada
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 1,126 dwellings across 6 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

6 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.6km · 2 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1052

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Canterbury PS · Kingsgrove NHS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Canterbury

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

308/2B Charles St · 8/1-11 Canterbury Rd · 14/231-235 Canterbury Rd · 21A Onslow St · 37/10-12 Broughton St · 16 Cressy St · 11 Ward Av

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Canterbury, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 266 - 268 & 270 - 272 Canterbury Road, 2 & 4 Fore Street, 1 Berna Street, Canterbury — A mixed - use building comprising 250 apartments within a single 25 - storey building,
  Allera Planning Pty Ltd on behalf of the landowners · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 388 - 390, 392, 394 Canterbury Road & 1 Allen Street, Canterbury — Shop top housing proposal comprising a 10 storey building containing ground floor commercial and approximately 100 apartments, w ith 15% for 15 years offered as affordable housing.
  Hayti Projects · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 9-15 Robert Street, Canterbury — 28 storeys, 189 apartments, including 3% affordable housing, laneway provision, basement parking
  U rbis Ltd on behalf of Growthbuilt Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 17 Tincombe St, 19 Tincombe St, 21 Tincombe St, 23 Tincombe St, 25 Tincombe St, 27 Tincome St, 29 Tincombe St, 98 Minter St, 100 Minter St, 102 Minter St, 186-192 Canterbury Rd, 194-196 Canterbury Rd, 198-200 Canterbury Rd, 202-204 Canterbury Rd, 206 Canterbury Rd, Canterbury — 403 apartments with affordable housing, retail and commercial space and a publicly accessible civic plaza.
  Arada Development Management Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 25 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 7 withdrawn, 7 determined, 2 lodged, 8 approved, 1 refused.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN has a five-year housing target of 14,500 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 18,700–25,100 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Canterbury-Bankstown LGA

The Sydney Plan lists 4 state significant rezoning sites in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Wiley Park and Punchbowl TODs — ~15,000 dwellings · rezoning completed Apr 2026
• Belmore and Lakemba TOD area — ~18,000 dwellings · rezoning completed Feb 2026
• Canterbury TOD — ~3,200 dwellings · rezoning completed May 2025
• Bankstown TOD Accelerated Precinct — ~14,000 dwellings, ~14,300 jobs · rezoning completed Nov 2024

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026