The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: High — based on 247 comparable auction sales (44 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/125 Euston Rd | 1 bd · 1 ba | $707k | July 2025 |
| L6/274 Botany Rd | 1 bd · 1 ba | $640k | June 2025 |
| 1/20-34 Wyndham St | 1 bd · 1 ba | $647k | June 2025 |
| W406/222 Wyndham St | 1 bd · 1 ba | $951k | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Alexandria — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Local rents — postcode 2015 units, new tenancies
$805/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2015 (2026Q2, 188 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 1-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Alexandria units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.1%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (105 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | Sold prior | withheld | Sydney Side Real Estate |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 1 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1a Mandible Street | 14 Aug 2025 | $682,000 | — | Harris Partners |
| 31/30-44 Garden Street | 21 Jan 2022 | $1,200,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2014 | $195,000 | — |
| 20 July 2026 | $755,000 | +287.2% over 11.6 yrs |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — DM Deferred Matter
Zoning is deferred under the current LEP — the previous planning instrument still applies here. Confirm the operative zone on the Planning Portal.
Zone DM (Deferred Matter) under the SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~70 m · 284 Wyndham Street Alexandria 2015 | Mixed Use Development · 258 new dwellings | Determined | Approved | $132.92M | 2021-04-08 |
| ~126 m · 305 Botany Road, Zetland Nsw 2017 | Alterations And Additions To Commercial Development | Determined | Approved | $39k | 2020-08-12 |
| ~133 m · R101-103, 305 Botany Rd, Zetland, Nsw 2017 | Alterations And Additions To Commercial Development, Restaurant Or Cafe, Take-Away Food And Drink Premises | Determined | Approved | $15k | 2021-07-05 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 960A Bourke Street, Zetland (110m — SSD-83899206)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP56177 registered 1997 — the building is at least 29 years old · 10 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Alexandria — recent local signals
2026-07-03 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (107-109 Wyndham Street, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-151527152 (rea), first seen 2026-07-03)
2025-12-19 — Health invest — 4/624 Botany Rd Alexandria NSW 2015 ($100k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-598310, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Alexandria Park CS (primary) · Alexandria Park CS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1069 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 500 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.