1 Mobbs La · Carlingford NSW 2118

Carlingford suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Carlingford suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.66M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.66M–$2.11M
around $1.88M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.11M
$2.44M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 17 comparable auction sales · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
81B Raimonde Rd4 bd · 3 ba$1.98MJune 2025
5 Plympton Rd4 bd · 3 ba$2.01MDec 2024
3A Talinga St4 bd · 2 ba$2.28MJuly 2024
74 Adderton Rd4 bd · 4 ba$2.1MMar 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 33 — below sydney average · light rail ~every 7 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Carlingford — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Carlingford · postcode 2118

$730/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2118 (2026Q2, 121 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $490 → $730/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2118, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Carlingford units at auction

Not enough Carlingford unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
29 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldUniland Real Estate | Epping & Castle Hill
22 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldUniland Real Estate | Epping & Castle Hill

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Carlingford, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
2 Morton Avenue17 Feb 2024$1,500,0003Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,535 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
8 May 2021 $1,690,000
21 June 2024 $2,150,000 +27.2% over 3.1 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.