10/137-143 Willarong Rd · Caringbah NSW 2229

Caringbah suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Caringbah suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$795k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$795k–$986k
around $890k mid
STRETCH CAP
$986k
$1.12M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 31 comparable auction sales (7 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
1/137-143 Willarong Rd2 bd · 2 ba$950kJune 2025
25/381-389 Kingsway2 bd · 1 ba$807kMay 2025
702/22 Banksia Rd2 bd · 2 ba$1.17MMay 2025
11/1-5 Sunnyside Av2 bd · 1 ba$820kApr 2025
11/9-15 Mansfield Av2 bd · 1 ba$930kMar 2025
303/3 Dianella St2 bd · 2 ba$1.52MDec 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 35 — below sydney average · trains ~every 10 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Caringbah — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Caringbah · postcode 2229

$680–$800/wk is what 2-bed units in 2229 actually transact for (middle half of 53 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $460 → $690/wk · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2229, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Caringbah units at auction

Not enough Caringbah unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Passed inwithheldPulse Property Agents

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Caringbah, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
18/171 Willarong Roadby 16 Aug 2026$490,0001Laing+Simmons

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 63 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
21 Apr 2022 $860,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.