









Currently listed — $1,650,000 ▼ Reduced 2.9% · $50k · 6 days ago
2 bed · 1 bath · 0 car · House
Asking price cut 2.9% ($50k, from $1,700,000 to $1,650,000) 6 days ago. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: High — based on 203 comparable auction sales (52 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 14 Aug 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 18 Aug 2026 asking $1.7M
- 21 Aug 2026 price cut $50k — to $1.65M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 13 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Waterloo St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.6M | May 2025 |
| 21 Nelson St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.75M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 48 — around sydney average · 8 min walk to Rozelle Bay Light Rail · ~20 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Rozelle — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
13 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Rozelle · postcode 2039
$750–$1150/wk is what 2-bed houses in 2039 actually transact for (middle half of 16 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $945/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $835 → $1150/wk · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2039, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Rozelle, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Withecombe Street | 14 Aug 2026 | $2,600,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 72 Mansfield Street | 2 June 2025 | $1,830,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 102 Foucart Street | 20 Dec 2024 | $1,700,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 14 Waterloo Street | 15 May 2024 | $1,532,888 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 18 Crystal Street | 30 Apr 2024 | $1,030,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Rozelle or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 24 June 2021 | $1,310,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the INNER WEST LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Inner West Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 4.67% (3.73–5.83%) | 1.8× (NSW 2.63%) | 73 refused of 1,564 · 65 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 10.98% (7.14–16.52%) | 4.3× (NSW 2.58%) | 19 refused of 173 · 12 approved with conditions |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.95% (2.37–6.53%) | 2.3× (NSW 1.73%) | 14 refused of 354 · 12 approved with conditions |
| Granny flat | 12.68% (6.81–22.37%) | 2.8× (NSW 4.45%) | 9 refused of 71 · 2 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | 17.24% (12.67–23.03%) | 1.5× (NSW 11.55%) | 35 refused of 203 · 11 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Inner West Council refused 7.24% (6.3–8.31%) of the 2,555 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
School catchments
Rozelle PS (primary) · SSC Balmain (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1114 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Rozelle — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.