📋 The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
CONSERVATIVE
$795k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$795k–$986k
around $892k mid
STRETCH CAP
$986k
$1.11M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 408 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~14% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Neptune Tce | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1M | July 2025 |
| 34 Parkedge Blvd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $796k | July 2025 |
| 50 Black Braes Blvd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $736k | July 2025 |
| 10 Hodgson Ri | 4 bd · 2 ba | $810k | June 2025 |
| 4 Brendan St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $688k | June 2025 |
| 11 Southerly Dr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $640k | July 2025 |
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-07-09-v3c — trained on 138,399 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Mernda — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
🔨 Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 July 2026 | Sold | $699,000 | Barry Plant - Doreen/Mernda |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint leverage score, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.