10 Third Av · Epping NSW 2121

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Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.09M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.09M–$2.61M
around $2.32M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.61M
$3.01M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 16 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
  • Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
  • Comparable support: 16 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
  • When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • 1 development application is recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
  • Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Epping · postcode 2121

$800/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2121 (2026Q2, 298 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $540 → $800/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2121, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Epping units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q4 $830k (13) · 2025Q1 $850k (11) · 2025Q2 $830k (21) · 2025Q3 $810k (3)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
28 Mar 2026Sold$2,252,000

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Epping, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
1 Rose Street24 Jan 2023$2,300,0004Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
9 Mar 2015 $1,553,000
17 Apr 2021 $1,970,000 +26.9% over 6.1 yrs
28 Mar 2026 $2,252,000 +14.3% over 4.9 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.