









Currently listed
2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 175 comparable auction sales (4 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 27 June 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Raine & Horne Mosman)
- 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 7+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/46 Avenue Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $945k | Sept 2025 |
| 2/23 Bapaume Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.91M | June 2025 |
| 3/162 Raglan St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.35M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 26 — below sydney average · 26 min walk to Mosman Bay Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Mosman — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
7 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Local rents — postcode 2088 units, new tenancies
$820/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2088 (2026Q2, 206 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 2-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Mosman units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -2.4%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (63 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 June 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | Raine & Horne Mosman |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mosman, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31 Mosman Street | 8 Sept 2023 | $831,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the MOSMAN LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~49 m · 55a Avenue Road Mosman 2088 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $507k | 2021-09-29 |
| ~59 m · 55 Avenue Road Mosman 2088 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Additional Information Requested | not on record | $1.47M | 2026-05-07 |
| ~73 m · 2a Rangers Avenue Mosman 2088 | Multi-Dwelling Housing, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia · 4 new dwellings | Under Assessment | not on record | $49k | 2026-06-17 |
| ~78 m · 49 Upper Avenue Road Mosman 2088 | Multi-Dwelling Housing, Erection Of A New Structure | Determined | not on record | $149k | 2025-10-03 |
| ~78 m · 3 67a Avenue Road Mosman 2088 | Subdivision | Determined | not on record | $1k | 2026-02-06 |
| ~79 m · 28 Somerset Street Mosman 2088 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development, Change Of Use · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $1.23M | 2023-07-03 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 11-23 Rangers Avenue, Mosman (150m — SSD-96272465)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP109657 registered 2025 — the building is at least 1 years old · 37 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Mosman — recent local signals
2026-07-01 — Aged care / seniors departure — 1A ELLAMATTA AVENUE MOSMAN 2088 ($31622k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-648377, OnlineDA))
2025-09-25 — Aged care / seniors invest — 2 DALTON ROAD MOSMAN 2088 ($566k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-575255, OnlineDA))
2025-09-17 — Place of worship invest — 144 RAGLAN STREET MOSMAN 2088 ($6886k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-567116, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Mosman PS (primary) · Mosman HS (secondary)
3 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1161 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.