104 Fern St · Randwick NSW 2031

Randwick suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Randwick suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $2,500,000

3 bed · 1 bath · House · 221 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.18M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.18M–$2.77M
around $2.47M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.77M
$3.12M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 75 comparable auction sales (11 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 22 Aug 2026 auction: Postponed (PPD Real Estate)
  • 22 Aug 2026 asking $2.5M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 7+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4/2A Frenchmans Rd3 bd · 2 ba$2.3MSept 2025
24 Frenchmans Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.33MJune 2025
2/183 Clovelly Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.35MJune 2025
1/89 Dangar St3 bd · 2 ba$2.52MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 52% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 41 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Randwick Light Rail · ~25 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Randwick — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

7 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

221 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldPPD Real Estate

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Randwick, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
1/107 Alison Road6 Nov 2025$1,135,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Randwick or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
3 Apr 2023 $2,450,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.