The listing we observed
3 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Ray White - Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills · last observed 8 Oct 2026
← swipe · 9 photos
Currently listed — $1,621,000
3 bed · 1 bath · 0 car · House · 147 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
361 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15What deserves a closer look
- asking $1.62M
- auction: Passed in (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- listed by the agency (portal date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.51M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.51M–$1.88M
around $1.68M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.88M
$2.17M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 361 comparable auction sales (58 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value
- Comparable support: 361 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 58 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Camden St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.06M | Sept 2025 |
| 14 Linthorpe St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $2.57M | Sept 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 87 — well above sydney average · 1 min walk to Newtown · ~8 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Newtown — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 4 Sept 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 3 Oct 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- 6 Oct 2026 asking $1.62M
- 10 Oct 2026 on market 35 days — portal listing date
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
35 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Newtown · postcode 2042
$1050–$1362/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2042 actually transact for (middle half of 28 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1198/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $820 → $950/wk · 0% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2042, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
147 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Newtown, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Alice Street | 18 Aug 2026 | $1,800,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 19/15-17 Erskineville Road | 11 Aug 2022 | $900,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 90 Hordern Street | 16 Dec 2021 | $1,500,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$1,620,000
1 Bray Street
Erskineville · 0.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath
$1,639,000
208 Denison Street
Newtown
3 bed · 1 bath · 1 car
$1,600,000
14 Egan Street
Newtown
2 bed · 1 bath
$1,600,000
181 Young Street
Annandale · 1.9 km away
2 bed · 1 bath · 1 car
New · 2 days ago
$1,600,000
127 Young Street
Redfern · 2.3 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 0 car
$1,600,000
26 Thornley Street
Leichhardt · 2.5 km away
2 bed · 1 bath
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Newtown or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 75% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 53 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
What's changing in Newtown — recent local signals
2026-10-01 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (83 Darley Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152501184 (rea), first seen 2026-10-01)
2026-10-01 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (93 Union Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152498572 (rea), first seen 2026-10-01)
2026-09-23 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (227 Australia Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152425816 (rea), first seen 2026-09-23)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Newtown PS (primary) · Newtown HS of Performing Arts (secondary)
11 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1097 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Newtown — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.