10A Louie St · Padstow NSW 2211

Padstow suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Padstow suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.28M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.28M–$1.59M
around $1.43M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.59M
$1.79M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 23 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
21A Napoli St4 bd · 2 ba$1.34MJune 2025
42 Mcgirr St4 bd · 2 ba$1.44MMay 2025
16 Berrima Av4 bd · 2 ba$1.38MOct 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 34 — below sydney average · trains ~every 9 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Padstow — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Padstow · postcode 2211

$580/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2211 (2026Q2, 19 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $430 → $580/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2211, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Padstow units at auction

Not enough Padstow unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026Passed inwithheldMcGrath Oatley

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.