The listing we observed
2 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Ray White - Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills · last observed 2 Nov 2026
← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $1,675,000
2 bed · 1 bath · 0 car · House · 57 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowHow much price evidence fits
111 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23What deserves a closer look
- asking $1.68M
- auction: Passed in (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- listed by the agency (portal date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.22M–$1.52M
around $1.35M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.52M
$1.73M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 111 comparable auction sales (33 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
- Comparable support: 111 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 33 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Marshall St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $2.21M | June 2025 |
| 52 Arthur St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $2.35M | May 2025 |
| 30 Smith St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $2.42M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 10 min walk to Central · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Surry Hills — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 17 Sept 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 10 Oct 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- 17 Oct 2026 asking $1.68M
- 6 Nov 2026 on market 49 days — portal listing date
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Days on market — this campaign
49 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Surry Hills · postcode 2010
$870–$1150/wk is what 2-bed houses in 2010 actually transact for (middle half of 36 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1060/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1150/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2010, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
57 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Similar properties — on the market now
$1,700,000
34 Bellevue Street
Glebe · 2.5 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,725,000
18 O'Connor Street
Chippendale · 1.3 km away
3 bed · 1 bath · 0 car
▼ Reduced 4.2% · $75k · 2 weeks ago
$1,740,000
33 Griffin Street
Surry Hills
2 bed · 1 bath
▲ Raised 2.4% · $40k · 3 weeks ago
$1,600,000
11 Walker Street
Redfern · 1.1 km away
2 bed · 1 bath
$1,600,000
127 Young Street
Redfern · 1.1 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 0 car
$1,600,000
69 Rose Street
Chippendale · 1.3 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Surry Hills or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 7% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 75% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 47 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2022 | $990,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Surry Hills — recent local signals
2026-10-28 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (57 High Holborn Street, Surry Hills, NSW 2010) (listing rea-152759016 (rea), first seen 2026-10-28)
2026-09-19 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (62 Buckingham Street, Surry Hills, NSW 2010) (listing rea-152299264 (rea), first seen 2026-09-19)
2026-09-03 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (649 Bourke Street, Surry Hills, NSW 2010) (listing rea-152239748 (rea), first seen 2026-09-03)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Crown St PS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
9 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1104 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Surry Hills — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.