124 Alma Rd · Padstow NSW 2211

Padstow suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Padstow suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.43M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.43M–$2.19M
around $1.78M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.19M
$2.37M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 149 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±21% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
25 Gibson Av5 bd · 3 ba$1.7MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 34 — below sydney average · trains ~every 9 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Padstow — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Padstow · postcode 2211

$1100–$1400/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2211 actually transact for (middle half of 33 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1280/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $550 → $850/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2211, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Canterbury-Bankstown Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.6% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 11.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026WithdrawnwithheldProperty Place Agency
11 July 2026PostponedwithheldProperty Place Agency

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
6 May 2023 $935,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.