13 Alfred Rd · Forest Lodge NSW 2037

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Currently listed — $3,380,000

4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House

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Your buyer evidence guide

Understand the home before the offer.

The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.

The listing we observed

4 bedrooms · House

Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.

Brellatrac · last observed 27 Oct 2026

How much price evidence fits

65 sales in the wider suburb/type pool

The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.

Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23

Planning activity nearby

5 recorded applications at or near this address

An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.

NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area

What deserves a closer look

  • asking $3.38M
  • our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date

These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.

What we still cannot tell you

  • No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
  • Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
  • Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection

Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.

  1. Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
  2. Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
  3. What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
  4. Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?

The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.

Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.52M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.52M–$3.48M
around $2.98M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.48M
$4.16M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 65 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
  • Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
  • Comparable support: 65 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 2 of this exact configuration
  • When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
39 Ross St4 bd · 3 ba$2.9MFeb 2025
266 Bridge Rd4 bd · 2 ba$2.64MDec 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 22 min walk to Rozelle Bay Light Rail · ~20 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Forest Lodge — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What changed recently?

  • 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $3.38M

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • 5 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Forest Lodge · postcode 2037

$1125–$1650/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2037 actually transact for (middle half of 39 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1400/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $850 → $1100/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2037, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Forest Lodge, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
41 Ross Street7 Aug 2026$1,600,0003Harris Partners
179 Arundel Street8 Jan 2025$1,715,0003Harris Partners
83 Arundel Street11 Apr 2022$2,750,0004Harris Partners
123 Wigram Road13 Jan 2022$2,225,0003Harris Partners
8/150 Wigram Road17 Dec 2021$1,400,0003Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Forest Lodge or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.