Currently listed — $3,380,000
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 65 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 11 Mar 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 19 Aug 2026 asking $3.38M
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 169 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Ross St | 4 bd · 3 ba | $2.9M | Feb 2025 |
| 266 Bridge Rd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $2.64M | Dec 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 22 min walk to Rozelle Bay Light Rail · ~20 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Forest Lodge — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
169 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do
Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Forest Lodge, around 4 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Ross Street | 7 Aug 2026 | $1,600,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 179 Arundel Street | 8 Jan 2025 | $1,715,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 83 Arundel Street | 11 Apr 2022 | $2,750,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
| 123 Wigram Road | 13 Jan 2022 | $2,225,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 8/150 Wigram Road | 17 Dec 2021 | $1,400,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Forest Lodge or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Heritage conservation area — Hereford and Forest Lodge. The property sits in a heritage conservation area — the streetscape is protected, so visible/external changes are controlled. It's area-wide, not this building specifically; it tends to preserve character and value.
Height limit 9m (≈ 2 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 1:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 1:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP71280 — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the SYDNEY LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Council of the City of Sydney has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 1.93% (1.34–2.78%) | 0.7× (NSW 2.63%) | 28 refused of 1,450 · 13 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 3.08% (0.85–10.54%) | 1.2× (NSW 2.58%) | 2 refused of 65 · 1 approved with conditions |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.41% (1.57–7.24%) | 2× (NSW 1.73%) | 6 refused of 176 |
| Granny flat | 3.13% (0.55–15.74%) | 0.7× (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 32 · 1 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | 5.63% (2.88–10.72%) | 0.5× (NSW 11.55%) | 8 refused of 142 · 4 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Council of the City of Sydney refused 2.61% (2.08–3.26%) of the 2,839 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Because this address sits in a heritage listing
Heritage does not make everything harder — it depends entirely on what you want to do, and for some work it makes approval more likely. Measured across NSW by category:
- Alterations & additions — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.39% on heritage-affected land vs 2.27% elsewhere
- Off-street parking — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 7.37% on heritage-affected land vs 2.29% elsewhere
- Pool, deck or fence — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.56% on heritage-affected land vs 1.62% elsewhere
- Granny flat — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 9.63% on heritage-affected land vs 4.4% elsewhere
- Knock down & rebuild — heritage listing lowers the refusal rate: 7.1% on heritage-affected land vs 12.68% elsewhere — applications here are typically pre-advised and conservative
These are NSW-wide rates for heritage-affected applications, not Council of the City of Sydney-specific, and they describe applications rather than this property. The zoning section above records the actual listing at this address.
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~62 m · 61 Hereford Street Forest Lodge 2037 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $46k | 2026-05-11 |
| ~128 m · 13-15 Charles Street Forest Lodge 2037 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $2.21M | 2025-12-09 |
| ~130 m · 39 Charles Street Forest Lodge 2037 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Maintenance Of Buildings In Draft Heritage Conservation Areas · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $64k | 2025-10-08 |
| ~132 m · 188 Hereford Street Forest Lodge 2037 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $180k | 2020-08-31 |
| ~139 m · 2 Upper Road Forest Lodge 2037 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Residential Accommodation · 1 new dwelling | Operational consent issued | not on record | $22k | 2026-02-12 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
School catchments
Forest Lodge PS (primary) · SSC Blackwattle Bay (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1111 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.