The listing we observed
3 bedrooms · Terrace
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
McConnell Bourn · last observed 15 Nov 2026
← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $2,700,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · Terrace · 269 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowHow much price evidence fits
16 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23What deserves a closer look
- asking $2.7M
- auction: Postponed (McConnell Bourn)
- listed by the agency (portal date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$2.36M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.36M–$3.05M
around $2.69M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.05M
$3.52M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 16 comparable auction sales · model runs ±13% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: block size, previous sale · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, previous sale
- Comparable support: 16 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
- When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Cross St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.67M | Nov 2024 |
| 6 Arundel St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.57M | Mar 2024 |
| 5 Scotsman St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.71M | Aug 2023 |
| 73 Ross St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $2.44M | May 2023 |
| 270 Bridge Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.03M | Feb 2023 |
| 2 Foss St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.76M | Dec 2022 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 22 min walk to Rozelle Bay Light Rail · ~20 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Forest Lodge — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 15 Oct 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 7 Nov 2026 auction: Postponed (McConnell Bourn)
- 12 Nov 2026 asking $2.7M
- 15 Nov 2026 on market 30 days — portal listing date
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Days on market — this campaign
30 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Forest Lodge · postcode 2037
$1188–$1418/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2037 actually transact for (middle half of 24 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1325/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $850 → $1100/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2037, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
269 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Postponed | withheld | McConnell Bourn |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Forest Lodge, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Ross Street | 7 Aug 2026 | $1,600,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 33/150 Wigram Road | 18 Feb 2026 | $1,467,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 13/150 Wigram Road | 28 Jan 2026 | $1,413,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 11/150 Wigram Road | 13 Dec 2025 | $1,400,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 179 Arundel Street | 8 Jan 2025 | $1,715,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$2,700,000
21B Daniel Street
Leichhardt · 2.1 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
New · 2 days ago
$2,750,000
12 Darling Street
Balmain · 2.6 km away
2 bed · 1 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 11% · $350k · 2 cuts
$2,650,000
112 George Street
Redfern · 2.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath
$2,650,000
37 Suttor Street
Alexandria · 2.7 km away
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
New · 2 days ago
$2,800,000
2 Henry Street
Balmain · 2.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 6.7% · $200k · 7 days ago
$2,550,000
340 Annandale Street
Annandale · 0.8 km away
3 bed · 1 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 12% · $350k · 2 cuts
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Forest Lodge or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2013 | $1,795,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Forest Lodge — recent local signals
2026-09-23 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (14 Creek Street, Forest Lodge, NSW 2037) (listing rea-152426372 (rea), first seen 2026-09-23)
2026-09-15 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (29A Charles Street, Forest Lodge, NSW 2037) (listing rea-152338312 (rea), first seen 2026-09-15)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Forest Lodge PS (primary) · SSC Blackwattle Bay (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1111 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Forest Lodge — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.