The listing we observed
2 bedrooms · ApartmentUnitFlat
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Ray White Lower North Shore Group · last observed 11 Oct 2026
← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed
2 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · Apartment / Unit
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
134 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15What deserves a closer look
- auction: Passed in (Ray White Lower North Shore Group)
- auction: Passed in (Ray White Lower North Shore Group)
- asking $1.15M
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.1M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.1M–$1.37M
around $1.23M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.37M
$1.55M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 134 comparable auction sales (49 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
- Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
- Comparable support: 134 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 49 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/74-76 Murdoch St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.57M | June 2025 |
| 8/17-19 Grasmere Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.2M | June 2025 |
| 10/1-5 Parraween St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.35M | June 2025 |
| 9/31-35 Sutherland St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.2M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 21 — below sydney average · 24 min walk to Mosman Bay Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Cremorne — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
- 18 Aug 2026 asking $1.15M
- 22 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Lower North Shore Group)
- 10 Oct 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Lower North Shore Group)
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Cremorne · postcode 2090
$850–$1025/wk is what 2-bed units in 2090 actually transact for (middle half of 85 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $900/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $635 → $895/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2090, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Cremorne units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -2.8%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 15 quarters (44 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Lower North Shore Group |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Lower North Shore Group |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Cremorne, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34/15-23 Sutherland Street | 19 Oct 2026 | $1,700,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 36/15-23 Sutherland Street | 19 Oct 2026 | $1,500,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 75% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 50 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
Planning & zoning — R4 High Density Residential
Apartments. Expect towers and ongoing development around you.
Strata plan SP13518 — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone R4 (High Density Residential) under the NORTH SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Cremorne — recent local signals
2026-09-21 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (6 Reynolds Street, Cremorne, NSW 2090) (listing rea-152305020 (rea), first seen 2026-09-21)
2026-08-24 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (34 Brightmore Street, Cremorne, NSW 2090) (listing rea-152127548 (rea), first seen 2026-08-24)
2026-08-17 — Development site — listing's own words: "Development Opportunity" (58 Waters Road, Cremorne, NSW 2090) (listing rea-151001668 (rea), first seen 2026-08-17)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Middle Harbour PS (primary) · Mosman HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1155 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.