15/3 Mars St · Epping NSW 2121

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Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$874k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$874k–$1.15M
around $999k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.15M
$1.35M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 23 comparable auction sales · model runs ±14% for this configuration · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
  • Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
  • Comparable support: 23 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
  • When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
5/10 Crown St2 bd · 1 ba$1.32MApr 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Epping — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 1989 and has 15 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
  • 3 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
  • Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Epping · postcode 2121

$760–$900/wk is what 2-bed units in 2121 actually transact for (middle half of 169 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $825/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $540 → $800/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2121, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Epping units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q4 $830k (13) · 2025Q1 $850k (11) · 2025Q2 $830k (21) · 2025Q3 $810k (3)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
27 June 2026Sold$1,270,000Cale Property Agents

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Epping, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
305/26 Ferntree Placeby 19 Aug 2026$755,0002Meriton
46/9 Epping Park Driveby 17 Aug 2026$720,0002Meriton
304/14 Epping Park Driveby 17 Aug 2026$610,0001Meriton
458/7 Epping Park Driveby 17 Aug 2026$758,0002Meriton
285/1 Epping Park Driveby 17 Aug 2026$710,0002Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
27 June 2026 $1,270,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.