📋 The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
CONSERVATIVE
$615k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$615k–$762k
around $690k mid
STRETCH CAP
$762k
$860k on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 16 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~14% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Breakwater Rd | 3 bd · 1 ba | $510k | Sept 2024 |
| 20 Carrington St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $810k | Dec 2022 |
| 159 Carr St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $590k | Mar 2022 |
| 48 Godfrey St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $630k | Feb 2022 |
| 12 Barnfather St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $375k | Mar 2025 |
| 15 Fagg St | 4 bd · 3 ba | $905k | June 2024 |
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-07-09-v3c — trained on 138,399 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Thomson — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
🔨 Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 June 2026 | Sold | $490,000 | Hayeswinckle East Geelong |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint leverage score, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.