15 Gladstone St · Balmain NSW 2041

Balmain suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Balmain suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.12M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.12M–$2.69M
around $2.4M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.69M
$2.88M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 174 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4 North St2 bd · 2 ba$2.34MMay 2025
41 Elliott St2 bd · 1 ba$1.97MMay 2025
4 Evans St2 bd · 1 ba$2.2MMay 2025
10 Carrington St2 bd · 1 ba$2.2MMar 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 42 — around sydney average · 16 min walk to Balmain East Wharf · ~12 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Balmain — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Balmain · postcode 2041

$990–$1250/wk is what 2-bed houses in 2041 actually transact for (middle half of 21 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $900 → $1300/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2041, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026Sold$2,000,000Richard Matthews Real Estate

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balmain, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
20/10 Gow Street19 Aug 2026$1,550,0003Harris Partners
15 Bradford Street1 July 2026$2,125,0003Harris Partners
311/22 Colgate Avenue3 June 2026$1,800,0002Harris Partners
8/1 Rosebery Place18 May 2026$1,322,5002Harris Partners
4 North Street24 May 2025$2,340,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
21 June 1991 $241,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.