15a Yarran Rd · Oatley NSW 2223

Oatley suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Oatley suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2M–$3.44M
around $2.69M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.44M
$4.63M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 189 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±27% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
64 Mi Mi St5 bd · 3 ba$3.57MApr 2025
8 Kitchener St5 bd · 4 ba$3.81MApr 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 27 — below sydney average · trains ~every 11 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Oatley — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Oatley · postcode 2223

$1369–$1800/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2223 actually transact for (middle half of 24 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1540/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $615 → $950/wk · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2223, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Georges River Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 8.69% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.88% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026Passed inwithheldCentury 21 Specialist Realty
20 June 2026PostponedwithheldCentury 21 Specialist Realty

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 63 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.