16/1 Addison Rd · Manly NSW 2095

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Manly suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.64M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.64M–$3.56M
around $3.11M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.56M
$4.06M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 327 comparable auction sales (7 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
54/20 Bonner Av3 bd · 2 ba$7.35MSept 2025
5/1 Cerretti Cr3 bd · 2 ba$3.2MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Local rents — postcode 2095 units, new tenancies

$1050/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2095 (2026Q2, 325 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Manly units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -4.9%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (138 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026Sold prior$1,655,000WHITEFOX Manly
11 July 2026PostponedwithheldWHITEFOX Manly

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
2/2a Kangaroo Street17 July 2026$1,500,0002Cunninghams
32/20 Bonner Avenue29 June 2026$5,250,0003Cunninghams
1/15a Eustace Street26 June 2026$1,270,0002Cunninghams
3/20 Birkley Road6 Feb 2026$2,550,0003Cunninghams
3/15A Eustace Street5 Feb 2026$1,350,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.