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Withdrawn from sale (8 Aug 2026)
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Apartment / Unit
The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
151 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23
The strata scheme
SP70691 · 28 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 2003
Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.81M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.81M–$2.27M
around $2.02M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.27M
$2.63M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 151 comparable auction sales (8 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: building age, land value · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: building age, land value
Comparable support: 151 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 8 of this exact configuration
When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 87 — well above sydney average · 1 min walk to Newtown · ~8 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 2003 and has 28 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Newtown · postcode 2042
$950–$1188/wk is what 3-bed units in 2042 actually transact for (middle half of 38 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1010/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $475 → $680/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2042, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
12 Sept 2026
Withdrawn
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
8 Aug 2026
Withdrawn
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
25 July 2026
Postponed
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Newtown, around 3 beds
Address
Sold
Price
Beds
Agency
10 Alice Street
18 Aug 2026
$1,800,000
3
Harris Partners
19/15-17 Erskineville Road
11 Aug 2022
$900,000
2
Harris Partners
90 Hordern Street
16 Dec 2021
$1,500,000
2
Harris Partners
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 66 days.
62% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,548 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — E1 Local Centre
A retail/commercial hub — shops and services at your door, but busier and noisier.
Heritage conservation area — King Street. The property sits in a heritage conservation area — the streetscape is protected, so visible/external changes are controlled. It's area-wide, not this building specifically; it tends to preserve character and value.
Height limit 15m (≈ 4 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 2.5:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 2.5:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP70691— A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone E1 (Local Centre) under the SYDNEY LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
Where
Proposal
Status
Outcome
Est. cost
Lodged
~42 m · 451 King Street, Newtown
Change Of Use
Determined
Approved
$1.18M
2020-12-01
~72 m · 475 King Street Newtown 2042
Alterations And Additions To Commercial Development, Mixed Use Development, Change Of Use · 1 new dwelling
Deferred Commencement
Approved, with conditions
$4.41M
2021-01-19
~82 m · 128 Station Street Newtown 2042
Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling
Determined
Approved
$90k
2020-12-23
~87 m · 477 King Street Newtown 2042
Shop Top Housing · 4 new dwellings
Determined
Approved
$799k
2021-07-23
~103 m · 5 St John Street Newtown 2042
Dwelling · 1 new dwelling
Determined
Approved
$120k
2022-06-03
~108 m · 512 King Street Newtown 2042
Shop Top Housing, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP70691 registered 2003 — the building is at least 23 years old · 28 lots in the scheme.
2026-10-15 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (172 Denison Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152641876 (rea), first seen 2026-10-15)
2026-10-12 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (20 Ferndale Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152598468 (rea), first seen 2026-10-12)
2026-10-09 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (35 Alice Street, Newtown, NSW 2042) (listing rea-152586968 (rea), first seen 2026-10-09)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Newtown PS (primary) · Newtown HS of Performing Arts (secondary)
11 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1097 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 1000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.