186a Flood Street · Leichhardt NSW 2040

Leichhardt suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Leichhardt suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $4,500,000

5 bed · 4 bath · 2 car · House · 354 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.98M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.98M–$4.02M
around $3.51M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.02M
$4.2M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 181 comparable auction sales (5 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $4.5M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 7+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
82 Francis St5 bd · 3 ba$4MSept 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 52 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Leichhardt North Light Rail · ~25 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Leichhardt — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

7 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

354 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Leichhardt, around 5 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
13 North Avenue19 Mar 2026$2,400,0004Harris Partners
48 Renwick Street28 June 2025$1,700,0004Harris Partners
5 Loftus Street4 Dec 2021$3,100,0006Harris Partners
4/14 McDonald Street16 Nov 2021$1,800,0004Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Leichhardt or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.