19 Jaffa Rd · Dural NSW 2158

Dural suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Dural suburb ← Back to board

Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.62M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.62M–$2.13M
around $1.84M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.13M
$2.55M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 55 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±14% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
  • Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
  • Comparable support: 55 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 1 of this exact configuration
  • When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4 Jaffa Rd3 bd · 1 ba$1.68MAug 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 28 — below sydney average

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Dural — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Dural · postcode 2158

$800–$890/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2158 actually transact for (middle half of 15 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $850/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $660 → $865/wk · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2158, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how The Hills Shire Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.06% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 1.92% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
11 Apr 2026Sold prior$1,877,000

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Dural, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
54 Valencia Streetby 16 Aug 2026$1,585,0003Laing+Simmons

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
27 Mar 2026 $1,877,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.