The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 71 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26C Marlborough St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $2.42M | Sept 2025 |
| 9a Wrights Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.23M | May 2025 |
| 42 Henley St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.5M | Mar 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 41 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Drummoyne Wharf · ~22 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 9 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Drummoyne — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Development potential — how City of Canada Bay Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 5.37% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 6.78% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | Warwick Williams |
| 11 July 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Warwick Williams |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Drummoyne, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8-8a Moore Street | by 16 Aug 2026 | $1,945,000 | 3 | Laing+Simmons |
| 23/90 St Georges Crescent | 24 Mar 2026 | $1,600,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 17 Broughton Street | 4 Aug 2023 | $1,920,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
| 2/15a Wrights Road | 9 Aug 2022 | $1,215,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 33 Wrights Road | 28 June 2022 | $2,300,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Registered lots in Drummoyne run 230–720 m² (middle 80% of 43 registered parcels). This one is 185 m² — below that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the CANADA BAY LEP, as recorded against this property in the NSW Valuer General's valuation record — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often City of Canada Bay Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 4.9% (2.94–8.05%) | 1.9× (NSW 2.63%) | 14 refused of 286 · 3 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 6.78% (2.67–16.18%) | 2.6× (NSW 2.58%) | 4 refused of 59 |
| Pool, deck or fence | 5.41% (2.5–11.29%) | 3.1× (NSW 1.73%) | 6 refused of 111 · 6 approved with conditions |
| Granny flat | too few to rate | — (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 15 · 1 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | too few to rate | — (NSW 11.55%) | 3 refused of 13 · 2 approved with conditions |
Across all application types City of Canada Bay Council refused 5.37% (3.94–7.28%) of the 708 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~71 m · 1 50-62 Victoria Road Drummoyne 2047 | Recreation Facility (Indoor), Hours Of Operation And Trading | Under Assessment | not on record | $55k | 2026-07-15 |
| ~86 m · 37 Thornley Street Drummoyne 2047 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $2k | 2025-11-07 |
| ~107 m · 34 Park Avenue Drummoyne 2047 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $8k | 2025-07-22 |
| ~114 m · 30 Formosa Street Drummoyne 2047 | Retaining Walls, Protection Of Trees · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $52k | 2023-04-04 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Drummoyne — recent local signals
2026-07-07 — Health invest — 19-23 LYONS ROAD DRUMMOYNE 2047 ($335k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-653967, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Drummoyne PS (primary) · SSC Balmain (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1131 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 500 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.