Your buyer evidence guide
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
Confidence: Low — based on 18 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/114 Cambridge St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.37M | June 2025 |
| 1/78 Cambridge St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.27M | Nov 2024 |
| 10/83-87 Arcadia St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.33M | Oct 2024 |
| 1/114-116 Cambridge St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.15M | Oct 2024 |
| 2/55 Arcadia St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.53M | Aug 2024 |
| 4/48 Inverness Av | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.26M | July 2024 |
crime index: 28 — below sydney average · trains ~every 10 min at peak
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
$730–$850/wk is what 3-bed units in 2222 actually transact for (middle half of 23 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $800/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $440 → $600/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2222, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Not enough Penshurst unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Sold | $1,451,000 | McGrath St George |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Postponed | withheld | McGrath St George |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15 Cambridge Street | by 26 Aug 2026 | $730,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
2026-03-20 — Petrol station departure — 641 KING GEORGES ROAD PENSHURST 2222 ($4836k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-622338, OnlineDA))
2025-10-09 — Place of worship invest — 520 FOREST ROAD PENSHURST 2222 ($688k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-576912, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
Penshurst PS (primary) · GRC Oatley SC (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1050 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Penshurst — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.