The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 71 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 203-205 Warringah Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.6M | May 2025 |
| 18 Kokoda Cr | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.42M | Mar 2025 |
| 39 Mary St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $2.5M | Nov 2024 |
| 20a Careden Av | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.92M | Nov 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 50 — around sydney average
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Beacon Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Beacon Hill · postcode 2100
$1200–$1400/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2100 actually transact for (middle half of 14 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1305/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $980 → $1425/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2100, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 July 2026 | Sold | $2,040,000 | McGrath Manly |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Beacon Hill, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49B Lady Penrhyn Drive | 12 Feb 2026 | $2,230,000 | 4 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 11 July 2026 | $2,040,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Beacon Hill — recent local signals
2026-06-23 — Aged care / seniors departure — 11 TRISTRAM ROAD BEACON HILL 2100 ($2695k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-650357, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Beacon Hill PS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1083 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Beacon Hill — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.