21 Speers St · Speers Point NSW 2284

Speers Point suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Speers Point suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.21M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.21M–$2.4M
around $1.73M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.4M
$3.64M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 17 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±34% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 78 — well above sydney average

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Speers Point · postcode 2284

$916–$1025/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2284 actually transact for (middle half of 12 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $430 → $750/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2284, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Lake Macquarie City Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 0.39% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 0.84% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldThe Kaprilian Edit
25 July 2026PostponedwithheldThe Kaprilian Edit
18 July 2026PostponedwithheldThe Kaprilian Edit

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.