23 Vignes St · Ermington NSW 2115

Ermington suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Ermington suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.72M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.72M–$2.18M
around $1.95M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.18M
$2.52M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 19 comparable auction sales · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
1 Kingsford St5 bd · 3 ba$1.81MNov 2024
56A Ulm St5 bd · 4 ba$2MSept 2024
29 Delaware Rd5 bd · 3 ba$2.45MMar 2024
18a Woodward St5 bd · 3 ba$1.7MDec 2022

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 44 — around sydney average · ferries ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Ermington — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Ermington · postcode 2115

$745/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2115 (2026Q2, 24 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $500 → $745/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2115, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Ermington units at auction

Not enough Ermington unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026Sold$2,125,000Uniland Real Estate | Epping & Castle Hill
18 July 2026PostponedwithheldUniland Real Estate | Epping & Castle Hill

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
7 Dec 2024 $1,981,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.