Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowYour buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
92 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
- We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.9M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.9M–$2.37M
around $2.11M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.37M
$2.73M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 92 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
- Comparable support: 92 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 3 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 196 Wollongong Rd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $2.56M | Sept 2025 |
| 128 Forest Rd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.57M | June 2025 |
| 11 Esdaile Pl | 4 bd · 3 ba | $2.28M | Apr 2025 |
| 189 Wollongong Rd | 4 bd · 1 ba | $1.9M | Apr 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise high · crime index: 40 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Arncliffe · ~14 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 10 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Arncliffe — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Arncliffe · postcode 2205
$1000–$1230/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2205 actually transact for (middle half of 21 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $650 → $930/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2205, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Sold | $2,050,000 | — |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | $2,050,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Arncliffe — recent local signals
2026-08-24 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (79 Wollongong Road, Arncliffe, NSW 2205) (listing rea-151855092 (rea), first seen 2026-08-24)
2026-08-22 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (9 Mount Street, Arncliffe, NSW 2205) (listing rea-150810836 (rea), first seen 2026-08-22)
2026-08-18 — Development site — listing's own words: "development site" (27 Wickham Street, Arncliffe, NSW 2205) (listing rea-149506844 (rea), first seen 2026-08-18)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Arncliffe PS (primary) · Bayside HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1067 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Arncliffe — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.