24/19-23 Waine St · Freshwater NSW 2096

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Freshwater suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.78M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.78M–$2.26M
around $2.02M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.26M
$3.11M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 77 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 22 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Freshwater · postcode 2096

$1200–$1800/wk is what 3-bed units in 2096 actually transact for (middle half of 36 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1525/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $618 → $850/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2096, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Freshwater units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $1070k (8) · 2024Q4 $1120k (4) · 2025Q1 $1157k (6) · 2025Q2 $1395k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026Sold priorwithheldStanden Estate Agents
15 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldStanden Estate Agents
1 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldStanden Estate Agents

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Freshwater, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
4/109 Wyuna Avenue25 Aug 2026$1,365,0002Cunninghams
3/2 Carlton Street15 Aug 2026$1,356,0002Cunninghams
15/111-113 Harbord Road29 July 2026$1,200,0002Cunninghams
11/40 Waine Street29 July 2026$1,090,0002Cunninghams
22 Wilson Street25 July 2026$3,180,0003Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.