Withdrawn from sale (22 Aug 2026)
3 bed · 1 bath · House · 366 m² land
The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 42 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Wood St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $8.55M | Sept 2025 |
| 24 Golf Pde | 3 bd · 3 ba | $5.68M | Feb 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | Bergelin Property |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/2a Kangaroo Street | 17 July 2026 | $1,500,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 32/20 Bonner Avenue | 29 June 2026 | $5,250,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
| 1/15a Eustace Street | 26 June 2026 | $1,270,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 3/20 Birkley Road | 6 Feb 2026 | $2,550,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
| 3/15A Eustace Street | 5 Feb 2026 | $1,350,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 2 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Manly or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Floor space ratio 0.6:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 0.6:1 times the site area. On this 366 m² block that's up to ~220 m² of floor space (a guide — clause exceptions, setbacks and height limits also apply).
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the NORTHERN BEACHES LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Northern Beaches Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 1.5% (1.07–2.12%) | 0.6× (NSW 2.63%) | 32 refused of 2,128 · 15 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 2.59% (1.55–4.3%) | 1× (NSW 2.58%) | 14 refused of 541 · 10 approved with conditions |
| Pool, deck or fence | 0.89% (0.51–1.54%) | 0.5× (NSW 1.73%) | 12 refused of 1,355 · 22 approved with conditions |
| Granny flat | 2.56% (1.25–5.2%) | 0.6× (NSW 4.45%) | 7 refused of 273 · 7 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | 26.03% (17.34–37.11%) | 2.3× (NSW 11.55%) | 19 refused of 73 · 4 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Northern Beaches Council refused 2.88% (2.42–3.44%) of the 4,195 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
What's changing in Manly — recent local signals
2025-12-23 — Health invest — 32 THE CORSO MANLY 2095 ($390k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-599274, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Manly Village PS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
1 primary school within 2 km · ICSEA ~1158 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Manly — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.