3/22 Manion Avenue · Rose Bay NSW 2029

Rose Bay suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Rose Bay suburb ← Back to board
← swipe · 5 photos

Currently listed

1 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$830k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$830k–$1.03M
around $929k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.03M
$1.3M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 35 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 18 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 9+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
7/2 Towns Rd1 bd · 1 ba$798kNov 2024
8/8 Chaleyer St1 bd · 1 ba$930kOct 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 11 min walk to Rose Bay Wharf · ~25 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 20 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Rose Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

9 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Local rents — postcode 2029 units, new tenancies

$975/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2029 (2026Q2, 131 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 1-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Rose Bay units at auction

Not enough Rose Bay unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.