3/4 Holdsworth Av · Elizabeth Bay NSW 2011

Elizabeth Bay suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Elizabeth Bay suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.66M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.66M–$3.94M
around $2.66M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.94M
$11.38M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 68 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±43% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
17/8-10 Billyard Av3 bd · 2 ba$6.45MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 98 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Kings Cross · ~5 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Elizabeth Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Local rents — postcode 2011 units, new tenancies

$735/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2011 (2026Q2, 549 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Elizabeth Bay units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q4 $1430k (5) · 2025Q1 $1550k (9) · 2025Q2 $905k (8) · 2025Q3 $1185k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026Passed inwithheldRay White Touma Taylor

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
17 Apr 2015 $2,215,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.