Currently listed
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · Townhouse
◆ Found on Sydney Sotheby's International Realty's own website, and not on the major portals when we last checked. The price and details above are as that agency published them — off-portal stock most buyers never see, and a single source rather than two agreeing.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 15 comparable auction sales · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 16 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 11+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise low · crime index: 52 — around sydney average · 37 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
11 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Maroubra · postcode 2035
$1100–$1375/wk is what 3-bed units in 2035 actually transact for (middle half of 27 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1250/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $850/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2035, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Maroubra units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -1.0%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (91 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the RANDWICK LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Maroubra — recent local signals
2025-12-03 — Education new — 29 SNAPE STREET MAROUBRA 2035 ($420k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-595449, OnlineDA))
2025-11-05 — Aged care / seniors new — 481 MALABAR ROAD MAROUBRA 2035 ($186634k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-585507, OnlineDA))
2025-09-16 — Health invest — 1 311-313 MALABAR ROAD MAROUBRA 2035 ($541k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-571781, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Maroubra Bay PS (primary) · Sth Sydney HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1051 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Maroubra — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.